Diagnosis Method for Spacecraft Using Dynamic Bayesian Networks

Development of sophisticated anomaly detection and diagnosis methods for spacecraft is one of the important problems in space system operation. In this study, we propose a diagnosis method for spacecraft using probabilistic reasoning and statistical learning with Dynamic Bayesian Networks (DBNs). In this method, the DBNs are initially from priorknowledge, then modified or partly re-constructed by statistical learning with operation data, as a result adaptable and in-depth diagnosis is performed by probabilistic reasoning using the DBNs. The proposed method was applied to the telemetry data that simulates the malfunction of thrusters in rendezvous maneuver of spacecraft, and the effectiveness of the method was confirmed.